HOT TOPIC – AUGUST 2007
by OzVPM Director, Andy Fryar
The cry of Chicken Little proclaiming that ‘the sky is falling’ is an easy mantra to take in today’s world of population growth, economic uncertainty, terrorism and environmental turbulence. Conversely, it is all too easy for us to sit back and assume that someone else will figure out a way to fix the problems our world is facing (most likely volunteers!)
While I don’t think either approach is entirely helpful, I do think that now is a good time to spend a little time reflecting on the likely impact that some of these emerging issues may have, on a practical level, in the work that we all do.
Over recent months, I have been amongst the many going along to see movies such as Al Gore’s film about global warming ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ and the newly released ‘A Crude Awakening’, which is a must see about what appears to be an impending world crude oil shortage, that has the potential to change everything about the way we currently enjoy our lives.
Like so many others, I am deeply concerned about just what in the world we have done to this earth and I wonder what the implications of these global matters might be on the remaining years of my life and on the lives of future generations. While there has been a lot written about ways we can take some remedial measures of corrective actions, especially for global warming, I wanted this month to cast my eye across the crystal ball and ponder (as best I can) what this may mean for volunteerism
Let me begin by stating that I am working from a position here that believes global warming to be a real phenomenon that will get worse before it gets better. I am also taking a position that affirms there will be a world shortage of crude oil in the coming years which will affect many spheres of life, force us to look for alternative power sources and have an impact on many parts of society.
So here goes!
These are really just a list of random thoughts, but it is my hope that by beginning to think these issues through, we may be in a better position to deal with them as they arise.
Firstly, let’s briefly explore global warming and climate change.
Global warming tells us that the earth’s atmosphere is heating up, and that we all need to work hard at reversing this. In a nutshell, if we are to be successful in turning this trend around, it will require the concerted effort of billions of people all over the globe, including governments and big business, to work to this one end. If we are not successful, we can expect continued bizarre and extreme weather amongst other things.
I believe we have already witnesses some of the fallout from this. The greater number and intensity of natural disasters over recent years has seen a giant mobilisation of emergency relief efforts by volunteers the world over and an increased focus on ways that volunteers can be managed within these often episodic and short burst emergency situations.
This has resulted in a greater focus on the work of those volunteers on the ‘front line’, and in some circumstances led to greater resources being made available to this part of the sector. What appears to have not always been quite so evident is the increased effort by those organisations that might be referred to as being more ‘behind the scenes’ in responding to these incidents – providing counselling services, emergency shelter, blankets, food and the like.
Increased natural disasters will continue to place strain on what are often already scarce resources, and we need to be careful to manage these resources well in order to keep them available.
Closely associated with this, are the massive monetary appeals which are launched during these times of need. The funds raised through these pleas go towards assisting those left in need through these disasters, but I do wonder if that leaves less money in the pockets of donors to give to the work of other parts of the volunteering community?
Some of the other possible impacts may include:
- An exodus of volunteers from mainstream volunteer programs into environmental causes, leaving a shortfall of available volunteers in other areas of volunteering
- A corresponding move of govt and corporate sponsorship for volunteer and volunteer management training into both emergency services and environmental volunteer projects at the expense of other spheres of volunteer involvement
- The development of new and exciting volunteer led solutions to some of the environmental problems we face
- An increase of collaborative international volunteering initiatives to find these solutions
Secondly, I’d like to look at the likely impact of rising world oil prices on the work that we do.
I have a feeling that the impending oil shortage is still a relatively unknown (or at least unrecognised) problem by society at large, but I am quite sure it will continue to gain headlines over the next few years. For those not familiar with this problem, there is much evidence to suggest that while the demand for crude oil around the world is growing (especially with the industrialisation of China and India ) our need for this finite resource is quickly outstripping our ability to meet that demand.
You only need to examine what happens to the price of fuel when a new conflict arises in the Middle East or a natural disaster hits an oil field to have an inkling of what this future may begin to look like. Imagine fuel being so expensive that owning a vehicle is out of reach for most. Or a world in which air travel is only for the elite. And it’s not just fuel either – consider all the other items of everyday life that use petroleum based products that would be impacted by a lack of oil production.
If you believe that sounds fanciful, consider that in the US , the cost per barrel of crude oil has doubled from $US27 a barrel in 2003 to $US53 today. Some are predicting that by 2010 or 2011 this will rise to $US100 a barrel for the first time. Regardless of the accuracy of these predictions, no-one can argue that prices are on the increase, and as a result we are all paying more for travel, freight and many other things.
This is already having an impact. For instance, a 2005 survey conducted by Volunteering Australia revealed that 84% of volunteer respondents believed that rises in petrol prices presented a barrier to volunteering while 52 percent of organisations surveyed reported that an increase in travel costs had led to volunteers within their agencies questioning or stopping their volunteer work as a direct result of increased travel costs.
So as I gaze into my crystal ball, what are some of the other likely outcomes of this trend?
- Overall increase in the cost of living
- Increased unemployment due to production costs putting companies out of business (in a worse case scenario this may also in turn lead to increased homelessness, crime and other things)
- Increased needs for volunteers to assist aid agencies and other volunteer organisations to meet the needs cited above
- A society less reliant on motor vehicles
- A society less able to travel (or afford to travel) to participate in volunteering
- A decrease in areas of volunteering such as voluntourism and overseas volunteer work
- More focus on local volunteering opportunities
- More focus on ways that volunteers can participate remotely (ie via the internet)
Now I am sure there are a million things I could add, and I know there are many readers far more familiar with these debates than I, but the point of this hot topic is simply to raise some debate on these important issues, and to that end I am keen to hear your thoughts on all of the above.
So:
- Do we have a reason to be concerned or not? Why / Why not?
- What are some of the other likely impacts I have not mentioned?
- What are the solutions for us in the volunteerism sector?
- Are we ready?
Share YOUR thoughts



















Response posted on 15th August 2007 by Liz Scarfe, Manager Volunteering Resources, Villa Maria, Kew, Victoria, Australia
How very progressive to see these issues being raised in the volunteering sector so soon (compared to many other sectors who seem very adept at holding their breath for extended periods while their heads are in the sand).
My first point is just a semantic one in that the term Global Warming falls a little short in describing what is happening. Climate Change seems to be the term of choice these days as it covers all the phenomena we are witnessing. Only some parts of the world are getting warmer; some are getting colder, some are experiencing dramatic weather changes (hurricanes in the southern hemisphere for example) and of course many more “natural disasters” all over the globe.
Another implication for volunteering I wanted to mention is the impact of climate refugees. I for one would be proud to see Australia be much more welcoming of refugees but I wonder how much longer we will really have a choice as the number of climate refugees is likely to rise dramatically in the near future. Note that ‘climate refugees’ is a fairly new term that has not been formally applied to many refugees so far; despite climate change already being the underlying cause of much displacement. I think this will lead to many wealthy countries being ‘stretched’ further to share the privileges of their wealth and it is here the impacts on volunteering would be felt. I believe we certainly have enough to go around but it is changing our attitudes to sharing and entitlement that will be our biggest hurdles.
From a different angle though, climate change is also stimulating new ways to utilise volunteers. About four months ago I recruited three undergraduate student volunteers to conduct an Environmental Audit of our worksite. This will hopefully lead to significant changes in the resource use patterns for our organisation (read cost-saving there) and reduce our carbon footprint. I don’t honestly think everyone doing their little bit is going to completely stop what is already in motion but we might be able to minimise the impacts.
Overall I think we are experiencing what is called ‘social decline’; an eventual outcome of our collective denial that we live on a planet of limited resources. There are many great books and websites that have emerged in the last few years about our ‘growth fetish’ that explore this concept for those interested.
I think the issue of the crude oil shortage is not if but when. Commonly known as Peak Oil (the peak being the maximum point of oil production from which production levels then decline ongoingly), this again relates to our collective fantasy that the earth will always keep providing more; which prevents us from planning ahead for times when it won’t. North America experienced its own oil peak in the seventies with fairly dramatic social impacts before foreign oil supplies filled the void. It was back then that predictions were made for when the global peak would occur; around the 2000-2010 mark. We will probably only know when it occurs after the fact (we are always riding the horse backward in life) but getting stuck in debates about when is irrelevant, especially as we are already experiencing the symptoms. Cuba had its oil supplies cut several decades ago and is a living example of how such a change might be experienced by societies. There are several good films about these issues, one being End of Suburbia.
Unemployment may be a factor in the short-mid term, especially in transition peaks, however I think mandatory redeployment is more what we will see. It would make sense that there will be an increased need for more labour-oriented/practically skilled roles and perhaps fewer management roles.
The website http://www.energybulletin.com is a great clearing house for energy related issues and is well edited so that you can almost be assured that what it publishes comes from proven sources (there is a lot of mis-information out there as there are many vested interests from every side of the issue).
The most alarming issue I see though is the human response to change, especially change of such magnitude. These issues are despair-inducing to say the very least. I would like to think I will behave gracefully when confronted with changes to my standard of living but…I don’t know. Luckily for me though I already ride a bicycle everywhere and grow a few of my own vegies but I know it’s not quite that simple.
What I am looking forward to though is how our communities will inevitably relocalise and it is certainly where I am putting my own volunteering efforts.